Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1580.490915 1729.525522 1881.335899 2047.263626 2223.235048 2404.018400 2603.503382
2025-03-30 1339.999456 1560.015858 1793.553616 2058.765499 2350.447679 2660.356894 3013.403523
2025-04-06 1182.357244 1442.839065 1727.982290 2060.933447 2436.661412 2845.243769 3320.815034
2025-04-13 1021.683879 1302.351955 1618.371337 1996.659308 2433.263755 2917.594329 3491.646457
2025-04-20 965.985022 1274.686070 1630.030150 2063.593562 2572.571748 3145.609219 3833.892021
2025-04-27 902.899569 1231.584820 1617.941098 2097.818117 2670.037325 3322.991846 4116.680853
2025-05-04 830.156834 1170.616833 1579.222981 2095.648609 2720.791507 3443.323808 4331.521936
2025-05-11 759.958972 1107.496806 1533.194794 2080.346569 2752.257531 3538.264814 4514.688177
2025-05-18 711.221039 1068.059871 1513.281790 2094.159906 2816.546556 3670.515918 4741.017007
2025-05-25 656.657659 1017.301179 1475.872862 2083.313620 2848.342260 3762.183913 4917.991868
2025-06-01 621.889372 990.487330 1467.064862 2106.744804 2921.188246 3902.733649 5153.573837
2025-06-08 573.572806 942.173885 1427.631420 2088.681272 2940.275206 3976.393449 5307.409245
2025-06-15 553.932126 933.177488 1440.185169 2138.591110 3046.730288 4159.941470 5598.987231
2025-06-22 521.726962 904.516739 1424.972692 2151.183105 3105.243495 4284.375531 5819.089028
2025-06-29 488.516411 872.277464 1403.096214 2153.407050 3149.283146 4390.111179 6016.002318
2025-07-06 435.068399 806.766921 1332.236121 2087.106327 3101.828190 4378.778840 6065.751753
2025-07-13 429.154419 812.589390 1361.161225 2156.150833 3232.094841 4593.275670 6399.327070
2025-07-20 413.206284 801.903858 1365.839760 2191.446482 3317.623817 4751.030389 6662.338562
2025-07-27 387.187665 773.845903 1344.198662 2189.209232 3352.409590 4843.359218 6842.726571
2025-08-03 359.175600 740.846684 1313.835747 2173.428801 3367.968316 4910.213973 6990.475675
2025-08-10 341.252533 723.196202 1305.248477 2187.674034 3423.681551 5029.079013 7204.980523
2025-08-17 317.880491 694.997301 1279.603253 2176.488693 3443.925027 5101.182780 7359.390289
2025-08-24 304.845115 683.569824 1278.797752 2200.651679 3512.516127 5236.892286 7596.377627